Dow Plummets 700 Points on Surging Inflation Data, Raising Concerns About Rate Cuts

The Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a significant drop of 708 points, or 1.8%, on Tuesday as hotter-than-expected inflation data for January rattled investors and cast doubts on the Federal Reserve's ability to implement multiple rate cuts this year.

This decline marks the largest drop since February 21, 2023, when the Dow lost 697 points, falling by 2.06%. The S&P 500 also slid 1.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 2%.

The consumer price index (CPI) for January showed a 0.3% increase from December. On an annual basis, the CPI rose by 3.1%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had anticipated a 0.2% month-over-month increase in January and a 2.9% increase from the previous year.

Core prices, which exclude the volatile food and energy components, experienced a 0.4% increase month over month and a 3.9% increase from a year ago. Expectations were for a 0.3% increase in January and a 3.7% increase from the previous year.

Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial, suggested on X that this inflation data could serve as a convenient excuse to temper the exuberance that has characterized the market's strong performance so far this year. He noted, "The CPI was just a touch hotter than expectations and proof positive that we're not on a linear path, but we're on a path headed lower."

The release of the CPI data led to a spike in Treasury yields, with the 2-year yield surpassing 4.63% and the 10-year yield reaching 4.29%. Technology shares, such as Microsoft and Amazon, which have been major contributors to the market's record highs as rates declined, experienced significant losses on Tuesday. Microsoft slid 2.2%, while Amazon fell 2.1%.

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In corporate news, JetBlue Airways saw a 20% increase in its stock price after activist investor Carl Icahn revealed a nearly 10% stake in the airline. However, toymaker Hasbro experienced a 3% decline after falling short of analyst expectations for the fourth quarter. Avis Budget Group also faced a setback, with its shares slipping 22% due to disappointing fourth-quarter revenue.

The market's reaction to the inflation data and the subsequent drop in stock prices reflects concerns about the Federal Reserve's ability to implement rate cuts in the face of rising inflation.

Investors are closely monitoring the trajectory of inflation and its potential impact on the broader economy, as it could influence future monetary policy decisions.

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